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Monday, June 04, 2007

June 4th

I'm having some computer issues that won't allow me to post probably till later this week (I hope). Just using a friends computer to post this.

Hope to be back soon!

Friday, June 01, 2007

June 1st - NVT

Cramer's speculation Friday pick was NAVTEQ Corp. (NVT)

Closing Price: $42.57
After Hours High: $ 45.49
Percent Increase at High: 6.86%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 44.68
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 4.96%
Sector: Technology
Days to Cover: 4.2
Short %: 4.35 %
% Held by Insiders: 3.12 %
% Held by Institutions: %
50 Day Moving Average: $36.49
200 Day Moving Average: $32.63

Decent price increase after hours for a stock in this price range. The takeover rumors from Google and Microsoft make this a scary prospect for shorting. The fact that there has been call buying already means this is not just a Cramer rumor and therefore could hold its strength.

Update - GLDD

Pre-Market High: $ 10.55
Pre-Market Low: $ 9.61
Pre-Market Close: $ 9.80
Pre-Market Volume: 235,035

Regular Hours Open: $9.95
Initial Spike Price: $10.00
Time of Spike: 9:31am
Initial Drop in Price from Initial Spike: down $0.50 (-5.0%) to $9.50
Time of Initial Drop: 3:52pm
High for the Day: $10.00
Low for the Day: $9.50
End of Day Closing Price: $9.57, up $0.51

Thursday, May 31, 2007

May 31st - CCIX FCSX GLDD

Cramer looked at some stocks that could be added to the Russell 2000 index and recommended:

Coleman Cable, Inc. (CCIX)
Closing Price: $26.56
After Hours High: $ 28.67
Percent Increase at High: 7.94%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 27.97
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 5.31%
Sector: Industrial Goods
Days to Cover: 0.4
Short %: %
% Held by Insiders: %
% Held by Institutions: 0.80 %

FCStone Group Inc. (FCSX) (Instant homework not available)
Closing Price: $42.29
After Hours High: $ 44.00
Percent Increase at High: 4.04%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 43.81
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 3.59%
Sector: Financial
Days to Cover: 0.7
Short %: 1.55 %
% Held by Insiders: %
% Held by Institutions: %

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD) (Instant homework not available)
Closing Price: $9.06
After Hours High: $ 10.25
Percent Increase at High: 13.13%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 10.20
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 12.58%
Sector: Industrial Goods
Days to Cover: 10.2
Short %: %
% Held by Insiders: %
% Held by Institutions: 7.50 %


GLDD is up over 12% and now above the top band that was at $9.49. The stock was also at an RSI of 68 and with this price increase would put it in an overbought level. Also, it appears the MACD was about to cross to the downside (bottom part of chart, black line crossing underneath the red line). This is a low volume stock with 10 days to cover the current short position so there might be a few panic buys in the morning since the stock has had a strong run as of late (50 day moving average is in the $7's), but I don't see this after hours gain holding and would think that the top band at $9.49 could come into play.

Wednesday, May 30, 2007

May 30th - CLF

Cramer started out by saying he thinks eBay and Yahoo! should join forces and would buy this new company hand over fist. BUT he said he isn't interested in owning either on their own right now, so no pick to analyze for shorting.

Next Cramer recommended Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) based on someb takeover rumors. The stock closed today just over $80 so is too expensive for my style, not to mention the takeover rumors, if true, could keep the stock strong and of course you wouldn't want to get stuck short if an offer was made.

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

May 29th -DE MON SQM CAT FWLT MDR BE HAL RDSa XOM FCX

Cramer went looking for some wild bull markets and recommended the following stocks:

Deere & Co. (DE)
Closing Price: $115.35
After Hours High: $ 116.14
Percent Increase at High: 0.68%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 115.70
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.30%
Sector: Industrial Goods
Days to Cover: 2.0
Short %: 1.82 %
% Held by Insiders: 0.04 %
% Held by Institutions: 81.30 %
50 Day Moving Average: $112.47
200 Day Moving Average: $97.00

Monsanto Co. (MON)
Closing Price: $60.48
After Hours High: $ 61.29
Percent Increase at High: 1.34%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 60.80
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.53%
Sector: Basic Materials
Days to Cover: 3.4
Short %: 1.58 %
% Held by Insiders: 0.40 %
% Held by Institutions: 85.10 %
50 Day Moving Average: $58.02
200 Day Moving Average: $51.39

Chemical & Mining Co. of Chile Inc. (SQM)
No After Hours Trades

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)
Closing Price: $75.75
After Hours High: $ 76.15
Percent Increase at High: 0.53%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 76.00
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.33%
Sector: Industrial Goods
Days to Cover: 1.9
Short %: 1.82 %
% Held by Insiders: 0.16 %
% Held by Institutions: 62.10 %
50 Day Moving Average: $70.54
200 Day Moving Average: $65.58

Foster Wheeler, Ltd. (FWLT)
Closing Price: $99.88
After Hours High: $ 100.54
Percent Increase at High: 0.66%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 100.11
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.23%
Sector: Industrial Goods
Days to Cover: 0.7
Short %: 2.82 %
% Held by Insiders: 9.59 %
% Held by Institutions: 81.40 %
50 Day Moving Average: $72.08
200 Day Moving Average: $54.47

McDermott International Inc. (MDR)
Closing Price: $74.69
Sector: Industrial Goods
Days to Cover: 1.4
Short %: 2.18 %
% Held by Insiders: 0.65 %
% Held by Institutions: 78.40 %
After Hours High: $ 75.64
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 75.30
Percent Increase at High: 1.27%
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.82%
50 Day Moving Average: $57.21
200 Day Moving Average: $49.92

Boeing Co. (BA)
Closing Price: $98.50
After Hours High: $ 99.00
Percent Increase at High: 0.51%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 98.92
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.43%
Sector: Industrial Goods
Days to Cover: 1.9
Short %: 1.10 %
% Held by Insiders: 0.04 %
% Held by Institutions: 67.60 %
50 Day Moving Average: $92.67
200 Day Moving Average: $86.51

Halliburton Co. (HAL)
Closing Price: $35.79

RYL DTCH SHL CL A (RDS-A) (Instant Homework not available)

Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)
Closing Price: $82.62

Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (FCX)
Closing Price: $75.84

All too expensive for my taste, not to mention the very small after hours increases. I didn't wait for the after hours action on the last few since they are all big companies that likely won't see much action after hours either.

Update - DAR

Pre-Market High: $ 9.20
Pre-Market Low: $ 9.00
Pre-Market Close: $ 9.06
Pre-Market Volume: 10,000
Last Nights Price: $9.73 -$8.87

Regular Hours Open: $9.05
Initial Spike Price: $9.15
Time of Spike: 9:35am
Initial Drop in Price from Initial Spike: down $0.27 (-3.0%) to $8.88
Time of Initial Drop: 9:49am
High for the Day: $9.15
Low for the Day: $8.88
End of Day Closing Price: $9.07, up $0.23

Friday, May 25, 2007

May 25th - DAR

The final 6 DOW stocks that were looked at were PFE, PG, UTX, VZ, WMT, and DIS. (Just for your reference)

Cramer's speculation pick was Darling International Inc. (DAR)

Closing Price: $8.84
After Hours High: $ 9.73
Percent Increase at High: 10.07%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 8.87
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.34%
Sector: Consumer Goods
Days to Cover: 6.4
Short %: 8.88 %
% Held by Insiders: 13.76 %
% Held by Institutions: 80.30 %
50 Day Moving Average: $7.47
200 Day Moving Average: $5.45


The air was taken out the after hours action as Cramer stressed for people to wait for a pullback in the stock, taking the stock down 10% from the after hours run up (ouch!). So with the stock up only 3 cents, and a long weekend for people to ponder this pick I'm not sure we are going to see much action Tuesday. If people do some technical analysis of this over the weekend they will see that it could be a little toppy with an RSI over 70, the MACD looking like it is about to cross over to the downside and near the top band of the bollinger, but not over. If the price does get back up to the after hours high level then a short could be in order, or even over the top band level of $9.21 near the open, but that's a big IF i think.

Thursday, May 24, 2007

May 24th - GOOG

The next installment of the DOW stocks being analyzed looked at IBM, JNJ, MCD, JPM, MRK and MSFT. As I have said all week, I'm not really going to look at the short side of these stocks since they aren't really picks.

Next Cramer looked at Google (GOOG) and said it was on its way to $1000, but headed to $600. Cramer said the catalyst for this is Amazon (AMZN) and its big recent run, which makes GOOG look cheaper. I don't like to short stocks above the $40 level, let alone the $400+ level, and I even have a rule not to short stocks pegged as "the next Google", so I really don't think shorting Google itself off a Cramer recommendation is a wise move even though it has been treading water for a long time.

Update - GLS

Pre-Market High: $ 28.28
Pre-Market Low: $ 28
Pre-Market Close: $ 28.20
Pre-Market Volume: 20,600
Last Nights Price: $28.00

Regular Hours Open: $28.23
Initial Spike Price: $28.55
Time of Spike: 9:33am
Initial Drop in Price from Initial Spike: down $0.99 (-3.5%) to $27.56
Time of Initial Drop: 9:59am
High for the Day: $28.55
Low for the Day: $27.26
End of Day Closing Price: $27.27, up $0.44

Wednesday, May 23, 2007

May 23rd - GLS

The next 6 DOW stocks that Cramer looked at were MMM, GM, HPQ, HD, HON, and INTC. Again, not a segment of the show this week I am commenting on.

Next Cramer looked at a play on "aircraft leasing" and recommended Genesis Lease Ltd (GLS)

Closing Price: $26.83
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 28.00
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 4.4%
Sector: Services
Days to Cover: 0.3
Short %: %
% Held by Insiders: %
% Held by Institutions: %



The bollinger bands were getting pretty tight of late according to the chart which means there was very low volatility. The price went from the top band to the middle band over the last 2 days and settled just below the middle band which was at $26.90. Yahoo Finance has an estimated growth percentage of 13.5% and remember Cramer is willing to pay 2 times growth in terms of p/e, so a p/e of 27 would be fair value. The current p/e is nearly 30. So either Cramer thinks that the growth estimate is wrong and should be higher or this isn't a long term hold stock and more of a trade. The stock also trades at a rather low volume with a float of only 31,310,000 shares. The after hours price had a steady increase to settle in around the $28 level, which could be a resistance point tomorrow so I would look to short above $28 if possible.

Update - MMR

Pre-Market High: $ 15.25
Pre-Market Low: $ 15.01
Pre-Market Close: $ 15.19
Pre-Market Volume: 53,800
Last Nights Price: $15.20 - $15.04

Regular Hours Open: $15.06
Initial Spike Price: $15.35
Time of Spike: 9:34am
Initial Drop in Price from Initial Spike: down $0.48 (-3.1%) to $14.87
Time of Initial Drop: 10:02am
High for the Day: $15.60
Low for the Day: $14.87
End of Day Closing Price: $15.2, up $1.21

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

May 22nd - MMR

Cramer continued his look at the stocks from the Dow Jones Industrial Average and looked at CAT, C, KO, DD, XOM, and GE. I'm not going to look at these for shorting since they aren't really picks. Cramer did put price predictions on the stocks, but again, we know Cramer is following an alphabetic order with the DOW stocks (by company name, not stock code) so there is no reason for these to be bid up insanely.

Next Cramer recommended McMoRan Exploration Co. (MMR)

Closing Price: $13.99
After Hours High: $ 15.20
Percent Increase at High: 8.65%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 15.04
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 7.51%
Sector: Basic Materials
Days to Cover: 14.5
Short %: 16.14 %
% Held by Insiders: 31.58 %
% Held by Institutions: 59.30 %
50 Day Moving Average: $13.63
200 Day Moving Average: $15.10

The stock is now well above the top band that was at $13.94. There are some other bullish signals for the stock as the MACD just crossed to the upside and the RSI was still below overbought levels. Since this is a commodity driven stock (Natural Gas) I don't like to short those since a strong day for the price of Natural Gas can propel the stock, even though the stock is up a lot after hours. The stock did have a big day yesterday as it held gains of over a dollar on the day, so its not out of the question the stock could stay strong tomorrow. The question is though...can it hold 2 strong days within a 3 day span? I would think a drop below $15 is a strong possibility (it may even go below that with the continued after hours tonight, so this is no big prediction on my part). The 200 day moving average is also at $15.10, so there should be some resistance at this level as people how have bought at higher levels may look to get out near even. And if you look at the chart above you can see that the stock has failed once already at trying to break the $15 level. I would look to cover quickly and set a tight stop loss in case there is a lot of short covering.

Finally Cramer recommended Mastercard Incorporated (MA) which had a closing price of $138.73, so it is too expensive here.

Monday, May 21, 2007

May 21st - TSS

This week Cramer is going to look at all 30 DOW components to see what he expects them to do in the upcoming year (as he has predicted the index to go well over 14,000). People may buy the stocks in hopes people will buy them as he mentions them through out the week, but there is no secret here, and no real reason for these stocks to pop creating a shorting opportunity.

Finally Cramer recommended Total System Services, Inc. (TSS)

Closing Price: $32.44
After Hours High: $ 34.08
Percent Increase at High: 5.06%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 33.81
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 4.22%
Sector: Services
Days to Cover: 17.2
Short %: 14.68 %
% Held by Insiders: %
% Held by Institutions: 8.40 %
50 Day Moving Average: $31.79
200 Day Moving Average: $27.31


The stock was hanging around the top level of the bollinger band ($32.47), and with the after hours action it is well above it now. The current short days to cover is pretty pretty high since this is a low volume stock on recent average. This could cause some panic buying, but since the short data (from shortsqueeze.com) might be a little dated that short percentage might be lower now...the reason I think that is because the 200 and 50 day moving averages are both below the current price, so the stock is above its average price over those time lines. This means that anyone who is short the stock in the last 200 days is likely down on that trade and may have covered already to avoid bigger losses. I would also like to point out that the PEG ratio is currently close to 2. This means that the stock is fairly valued according to one of Cramer's rules that he will pay two times the growth rate for a company. If your are interested in learning about PEG and other investing terms related to TSS visit my Instant Homework site where I give detailed analysis on Cramer's picks along with helpful definitions.

Friday, May 18, 2007

May 18th - KO DPHIQ.PK

Cramer's final pick in his strong CEO companies was Coca-Cola Co. (KO)

Closing Price: $52.63
After Hours High: $ 52.89
Percent Increase at High: 0.49%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 52.81
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.34%
Sector: Consumer Goods
Days to Cover: 1.7
Short %: 0.80 %
% Held by Insiders: 0.01 %
% Held by Institutions: 55.10 %
50 Day Moving Average: $49.74
200 Day Moving Average: $47.21

Cramer then said to do some homework on Delphi Corp. (DPHIQ.PK) which trades on the pink sheets. There is no extended hours trading available for pink sheet stocks (according to the NASDAQ after hours site I use) and I've never actually tried to short pink sheet stocks, but I have a feeling that you might not even be able to due to the pure risk involved in these stocks anyway.

Thursday, May 17, 2007

May 17th - WWY CY

William Wrigley Jr. Co. (WWY)
Closing Price: $57.43
After Hours High: $ 58.05
Percent Increase at High: 1.08%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 57.75
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.56%
Sector: Consumer Goods
Days to Cover: 6.0
Short %: 2.92 %
% Held by Insiders: 13.67 %
% Held by Institutions: 58.20 %
50 Day Moving Average: $53.12
200 Day Moving Average: $50.22

Cypress Semiconductor Corporation (CY)
Closing Price: $21.05
After Hours High: $ 21.80
Percent Increase at High: 3.56%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 21.75
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 3.33%
Sector: Technology
Days to Cover: 2.9
Short %: 8.67 %
% Held by Insiders: 1.15 %
% Held by Institutions: 90.30 %
50 Day Moving Average: $20.07
200 Day Moving Average: $17.79

Wednesday, May 16, 2007

May 16th - TM HON

Toyota Motor Corp. (TM)
Closing Price: $122.51
After Hours High: $ 123.48
Percent Increase at High: 0.79%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 123.31
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.65%
Sector: Consumer Goods
Days to Cover: 0.8
Short %: 0.03 %
% Held by Insiders: 1.00 %
% Held by Institutions: 0.10 %
50 Day Moving Average: $126.56
200 Day Moving Average: $121.54

Honeywell International Inc. (HON)
Closing Price: $58.14
After Hours High: $ 58.84
Percent Increase at High: 1.20%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 58.37
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.40%
Sector: Industrial Goods
Days to Cover: 1.7
Short %: 0.79 %
% Held by Insiders: 0.02 %
% Held by Institutions: 76.80 %
50 Day Moving Average: $49.51
200 Day Moving Average: $44.21

Tuesday, May 15, 2007

May 15th - HLF ACM HPQ

Herbalife Ltd. (HLF)
Closing Price: $39.39
After Hours High: $ 40.59
Percent Increase at High: 3.05%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 40.15
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 1.93%
Sector: Services
Days to Cover: 0.8
Short %: 1.47 %
% Held by Insiders: 44.76 %
% Held by Institutions: 38.30 %
50 Day Moving Average: $39.02
200 Day Moving Average: $36.83

AECOM TECHNOLOGY COR (ACM) (Instant Homework N/A for ACM)
Closing Price: $21.00
After Hours High: $ 24.62
Percent Increase at High: 17.24%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 23.37
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 11.29%

Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ)
Closing Price: $44.75
After Hours High: $ 44.97
Percent Increase at High: 0.49%
After Hours Most Recent Price: $ 44.75
Percent Increase at Most Recent Price: 0.00%
Sector: Technology
Days to Cover: 2.0
Short %: 1.02 %
% Held by Insiders: 3.73 %
% Held by Institutions: 76.40 %
50 Day Moving Average: $41.22
200 Day Moving Average: $39.29